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Lesson 4 of 4 ยท 5 min read

Economic figures

Inflation, jobs, GDP โ€” the figures the market keeps an eye on.

Inflation (CPI)

The Consumer Price Index measures how fast prices are rising. Too high โ†’ the central bank raises rates. It's perhaps the market's most watched figure.

What your money will buy
โ‚ฌ10,000 after 20 years
$5,537
Inflation3.0%
Years20

Employment

Jobs figures (like the US 'jobs report') show the strength of the economy. Strong = good, but too strong can fuel rate fears ('good news is bad news').

recoverypeakrecessionrecovery
Business cycle: economies move in waves. Recovery, boom, slowdown, recession.

GDP & sentiment

GDP measures the total economy; consumer confidence measures the mood. Together they sketch whether we're heading toward growth or recession.

recoverypeakrecessionrecovery
Business cycle: economies move in waves. Recovery, boom, slowdown, recession.

Remember this

  • CPI measures inflation and is perhaps the market's most watched figure.
  • Jobs figures show economic strength, but too strong can cause rate fears ('good news is bad news').
  • GDP measures the total economy, sentiment measures the mood.
  • Together these figures sketch whether we're heading toward growth or recession.

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Economic figures