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Lesson 2 of 3 ยท 4 min read

Thinking errors (biases)

Your brain takes shortcuts that cost you money.

Confirmation bias

You only look for information that confirms your opinion. Deliberately read counterarguments too before you buy.

factsbiascoloureddecisionby your brain's biasspot the trap
A bias quietly colours your decision. Learn to spot it.

Loss aversion

A loss feels about 2ร— as heavy as an equal gain. Because of this, people hold on to losers too long and sell winners too quickly.

euphoriafearhopebuying at euphoria, selling at fear = the trap
The emotional cycle: buying at euphoria and selling at fear is the trap.

Recency bias

You think the recent trend will continue. But 'it went up' is no reason for it to keep going up.

trend (signal)daily noise
Ignore the daily noise; the long-term trend is the signal.

Remember this

  • Confirmation bias: you look for confirmation โ€” deliberately read counterarguments too.
  • Loss aversion: a loss feels about 2ร— as heavy as an equal gain.
  • Recency bias: 'it went up' is no reason for it to keep going up.
  • You don't spot your own thinking errors automatically โ€” slowing down and checking helps.

There is a quiz for this lesson

2 questions that check whether it stuck. They live in the app, because a quiz nobody grades teaches nothing.

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Thinking errors (biases)